A new AI-enabled pilot project aims to sense “micro changes” in the behavior of people with top-secret clearances. If it works, it could be the future of corporate HR. Source: The US Military Is Creating the Future of Employee Monitoring The future of HR? Don't you mean the future of human societies?? When the military … Continue reading Is tracking our own “micro changes” key to our future security?
Forget about predictions. Focus on signals. Look back to see forward. Uncover patterns. Create a community. [...] At its best, futures thinking is not about predicting the future; rather, it is about engaging people in thinking deeply about complex issues, imagining new possibilities, connecting signals into larger patterns, connecting the past with the present and … Continue reading Marina Gorbis on: ”Five Principles for Thinking Like a Futurist”
It is easy to believe that the future is a consequence of a number of external driving forces. Just for the overview, we can collect them under the headlines Social factors (soc), Technological factors (tech), Economical Factors (econ), Ecological Factors (ecol) and Political Factors (pol). If we describe it as a mathematical function for how the society … Continue reading Which is the most important parameter for the future of humanity?
Only days before(!) Donald Trump is inaugurated as POTUS the US Nation Intelligence Council released a public report on the future which underlines their views of the uncertainties which will shape the next 20 years. The timing of the release of an open intelligence report is of course a whole discussion in itself. What caught my eye … Continue reading National Intelligence Council futures report: Paradox of Progress
Looking back on what I wrote about some time ago I found a text I wrote in 2005 about how the European project might crash. The context then was the French riots which sent an echo throughout Europe. I often find it interesting to read foreigners who observe and comment on your own behavior. In Peter Schwartz’s … Continue reading The future of Europe – a short repost
The cities of the planet are growing in both numbers and influence. United Nations predicts that in 2050 about 66% of the human population on this planet will not live in rural but in urban areas. Comparing this to 30% in 1950 the global rate by which the cities are growing is amazing. In Sweden, … Continue reading The City – the mother of all sharing platforms
A digitalization strategy is dangerous and mainly wrong approach. Why? Because it draws the attention to today’s models, structures and systems and how they can change and become digital. And why is that wrong? Just ask yourself these questions: Would the bookstores have survived if they pursued a digitalization strategy? Would the newspaper industry thrive … Continue reading The folly of digitalization strategy
Nature can be described as organized in hierarchical systems layers - but that doesn’t mean humans must organize themselves in static hierarchies. There are examples of different ways of organizing people to perform work together. Stowe Boyd pointed me in the direction of a Medium post by Jorge Mazal which started with a set of principles … Continue reading Is the norm of hierarchic organization just another failed normative logic?
What is Blockchain and what are the possible consequences for the future? Blockchain is the key innovation behind the cryptocurrency Bitcoin and have lately come in focus almost everywhere. Blockchain itself can be described as a technology with the ability to displace the need for other (e g human, legal, governmental…) layers of trust between any … Continue reading The possible long term potential of Blockchain
We are drowning in news about new technologies every day. Technologies that are solving difficult problems as well as opening new possibilities. It is easy to see them as the most powerful forces transforming our world. But we forget one important aspect. We perceive these technologies through the stories of our time. These stories are much more important factors shaping our future than any technology. It is … Continue reading It is our stories, not technologies, that shape our future