Do futurists predict the future? No, of course not! Especially not in phases of transformation when the old structures are crumbling, the new haven't emerged yet and nothing around us makes sense. But maybe we can understand a bit more if view it through the metaphor of when a caterpillar turns into a butterfly? Living … Continue reading To be a futurist is like being a midwife to imaginal cells
We are now living through an era of fundamental uncertainty. People are dying and it is a major test of our society’s structures. Some of them might even break badly. Maybe some of them have already. In this uncertain and scary time, the vast majority of post corona articles are of course focused on risks. … Continue reading The importance of positive post corona scenarios
In the West we have for some time been aware that we live in a world of unsustainable growth and excessive consumption. When the resources are limited it will come to a point where it stresses the whole system. And we don’t have to be rocket scientists to see that the systems around us are … Continue reading Are we now approaching THE global reset?
Juan Enriquez is setting the light on the deeper difficult ethical challenges technology development is causing when reality is changing faster than our ethical rules.
A new AI-enabled pilot project aims to sense “micro changes” in the behavior of people with top-secret clearances. If it works, it could be the future of corporate HR. Source: The US Military Is Creating the Future of Employee Monitoring The future of HR? Don't you mean the future of human societies?? When the military … Continue reading Is tracking our own “micro changes” key to our future security?
Marina Gorbis is a futurist and executive director of the Institute for the Future (IFTF), a research organization that helps organizations to think about and prepare for the future. In Educause Review she wrote this really good article where she listed "Five Principles for Thinking Like a Futurist": Forget about predictions. Focus on signals. Look … Continue reading Marina Gorbis on: ”Five Principles for Thinking Like a Futurist”
It is easy to believe that the future is a consequence of a number of external driving forces. Just for the overview, we can collect them under the headlines Social factors (soc), Technological factors (tech), Economical Factors (econ), Ecological Factors (ecol) and Political Factors (pol). If we describe it as a mathematical function for how the society … Continue reading Which is the most important parameter for the future of humanity?
Only days before(!) Donald Trump is inaugurated as POTUS the US Nation Intelligence Council released a public report on the future which underlines their views of the uncertainties which will shape the next 20 years. The timing of the release of an open intelligence report is of course a whole discussion in itself. What caught my eye … Continue reading National Intelligence Council futures report: Paradox of Progress
Looking back on what I wrote about some time ago I found a text I wrote in 2005 about how the European project might crash. The context then was the French riots which sent an echo throughout Europe. I often find it interesting to read foreigners who observe and comment on your own behavior. In Peter Schwartz’s … Continue reading The future of Europe – a short repost
The cities of the planet are growing in both numbers and influence. United Nations predicts that in 2050 about 66% of the human population on this planet will not live in rural but in urban areas. Comparing this to 30% in 1950 the global rate by which the cities are growing is amazing. In Sweden, … Continue reading The City – the mother of all sharing platforms