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Emerging futures Posts

Researchers show that global democracy really is slipping

Most observers of global political development would probably just nod at this. There definitely seems to be a pattern: Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin,  Xi Jinping, Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Victor Orbán to just mention the most obvious ones. 

But recently two Swedish researchers went one step further and provides us with numbers, or at least graphs. According to Anna Lührmann and Staffan I Lindberg’s article A third wave of autocratization is here: what is new about it? we are right now in the third wave of autocratization.

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Juan Enriquez on the difficult ethical challenges during accelerating technological change

Morale and ethics are important to us. It is what glues societies together. But what happens when technologies transform the logical framing underpinning our ethical rules – of what we believe is right or wrong? Juan Enriquez is in this video talking about an extremely important issue,  the challenges of future ethics in times of continuous technological change.

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Is tracking our own “micro changes” key to our future security?

A new AI-enabled pilot project aims to sense “micro changes” in the behavior of people with top-secret clearances. If it works, it could be the future of corporate HR.

Source: The US Military Is Creating the Future of Employee Monitoring

The future of HR? Don’t you mean the future of human societies??

When the military is developing a system to track someones behavioral changes on a micro level it is for security purposes – to detect breaches of trust. If we connect this to what some Chinese companies are already doing to their labor force the possibilities of for HR purposes are obvious. It is pretty easy to argue that you are not really trust-worthy if we are not allowed to track your behavior.

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Marina Gorbis on: ”Five Principles for Thinking Like a Futurist”

Forget about predictions. Focus on signals. Look back to see forward. Uncover patterns. Create a community. […] At its best, futures thinking is not about predicting the future; rather, it is about engaging people in thinking deeply about complex issues, imagining new possibilities, connecting signals into larger patterns, connecting the…

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Merry Christmas & Happy New Year

Time for holidays and some rest so we have all the energy we need to meet next year’s challenges! (My New Years resolution will be about updating my blogs more often!)

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Which is the most important parameter for the future of humanity?

It is easy to believe that the future is a consequence of a number of external driving forces. Just for the overview, we can collect them under the headlines Social factors (soc), Technological factors (tech), Economical Factors (econ), Ecological Factors (ecol) and Political Factors (pol). If we describe it as a mathematical…

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National Intelligence Council futures report: Paradox of Progress

Only days before(!) Donald Trump is inaugurated as POTUS the US Nation Intelligence Council released a public report on the future which underlines their views of the uncertainties which will shape the next 20 years. The timing of the release of an open intelligence report is of course a whole discussion in…

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