Scenario planning is rapidly on the rise as one of the most important strategic tools. This awakening have slowly been going on for a while but the global uncertainties caused by the financial crisis and global economic recession have been speeding up the process. Since the 1960:s the value of scenario planning have been that … Continue reading Scenario planning in fashion
Tag: scenario planning
Future of the American Automotive industry
Since I use this example in my scenario planning education almost every day I thought it might be appropriate to remind you of this scenario published by Peter Schwartz and Jay Ogilvy in their article Plotting Your Scenarios in the book Learning from the Future (eds Fahey and Randall). It is said to have been … Continue reading Future of the American Automotive industry
The organizational silo confirmed
In July this year HBS published a working paper by the name: Communication (and Coordination?) in a Modern, Complex Organization where the authors analyzed e-mails from 30.000 employees in a large company over a 3-month period. It is really interesting that this has been done, even if I wonder why it wasn't done before (or … Continue reading The organizational silo confirmed
Taleb and the risk of scenario planning
Coming back from vacation sieving through the mailbox I found an article where scenario planning was mentioned in an interview with Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of the very interesting book "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable"(Amazon UK). / "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable" (Amazon US). Even if I … Continue reading Taleb and the risk of scenario planning