Wikileaks and the future

Is the Wikileaks conflict leading us towards a better and more open future or can it result in the opposite? The Wikileaks phenomenon in itself is nothing but the natural consequence of Moore's Law and the emergence of omnipresent and ubiquitous communication and data gathering technologies. It is an effect that is one interpretation of … Continue reading Wikileaks and the future

Why is there a decline of healthy lifestyle?

Today FuturePundit reports about the decline in healthy life style in the US. Investigators from the Department of Family Medicine, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston compared the results of two large-scale studies of the US population in 1988-1994 and in 2001-2006. In the intervening 18 years, the percentage of adults aged 40-74 years with … Continue reading Why is there a decline of healthy lifestyle?

Future of the American Automotive industry

Since I use this example in my scenario planning education almost every day I thought it might be appropriate to remind you of this scenario published by Peter Schwartz and Jay Ogilvy in their article Plotting Your Scenarios in the book Learning from the Future (eds Fahey and Randall). It is said to have been … Continue reading Future of the American Automotive industry

Automotive industry and the future of mobility

What about the future of the automotive industry? It doesn't look good from an American (or Swedish) horizon, but where is all this going and how are we going to transport ourselves tomorrow?? Yesterday I held a speech at a local conference of entrepreneurship. As usual I talked about scenario planning and it's virtues of … Continue reading Automotive industry and the future of mobility

The future of Internet – the next 5000 days

Kevin Kelly say something like this in the speech: "The Internet's development is really amazing, but strangely enough, we are not amazed?" Do we really understand what is going on? The last time I wrote about Kevin Kelly in this forum was when he had been writing an interesting article in Wired about the future … Continue reading The future of Internet – the next 5000 days

Taleb and the risk of scenario planning

Coming back from vacation sieving through the mailbox I found an article where scenario planning was mentioned in an interview with Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of the very interesting book "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable"(Amazon UK). / "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable" (Amazon US). Even if I … Continue reading Taleb and the risk of scenario planning

The future of newspapers

My home town Göteborg is currently host for the 61st World Newspaper Congress & 15th World Editors Forum with the main theme: Newspapers: A Multi-Media, Growth Business. To me, who is working with strategy, technology related forecasting and scenario planning, it feels really weird. When I look at how technology development and diffusion mix with … Continue reading The future of newspapers

Evolution of science porn and the declining relevance of science

Today scientific knowledge is more popular among the public than ever. It is only underscored with the success of the vast number of magazines popularizing science and the growing numbers of public science fairs popping up everywhere (e g here in Göteborg the science fair Vetenskapsfestivalen occured last week). The increased educational levels, indisputable leaps … Continue reading Evolution of science porn and the declining relevance of science

Porn, activism and technology forecasting

Laurent Haug quoted Ethan Zuckerman's point which is really worth repeating in forecasting and futurist circles. Since I am, at least partly, finding myself backing a bit to my original turf of technology forecasting this is a good reminder of a rule of thumb that I actually used as an argument for the future success … Continue reading Porn, activism and technology forecasting

LIFT08: Future and Asia

One of the highlights of LIFT08 was the Asia track. First on stage was Marc Laperrouza who talked about the telecommunication situation in China. To summarize what I thought was most interesting (download PDF of presentation): 59% of the world's 2,5 billion mobile phone users are in developing countries - it is the first time … Continue reading LIFT08: Future and Asia