The other weekend I reread Asimov‘s Foundation trilogy, one of the brilliant books that might have influenced me to work within the area of foresight.
Since we can trace the birth of many of our defining concept of this society back to the end of the middle ages, why not try to mirror what is happening today in how the world looked like then? Here is X things that I have collected which sometimes seems to be rewinded: Organizing The decline of the nation state as the dominant organizing principle Hierarchical structures are challenged by the open spaces and market way of organizing things – innovation Knowledge and world view Increasingly relativistic view of knowledge – broadcasting model is challenged and is losing it’s politically and socially defining qualities The decline of the idea of a better future – the idea of progress The text-based knowledge society is challenged by a world of verbally told stories and images Breakdown of the quantitative perspective and re-emergence of a qualitative world view and geographical perspective – death of distance, valuing the people and the experience of a specific place without so much romancing about how far away it is from home’ Re-emergence of the risk society – the world out there is a dangerous place and we need to be protected Value creation Re-emergence of a non money value exchange systems – open source, make, prosumtion Break down of the immaterial ownership logic, where
Kevin Kelly say something like this in the speech: “The Internet’s development is really amazing, but strangely enough, we are not amazed?” Do we really understand what is going on?
Today Jamais Cascio wrote a post about The Big Picture where he paints a picture of the 6 main drivers behind the major development of the next 20 years.
To increase the value of this blog I might copy the idea of catching what I find valueble and comment very briefly on it once in a while.
When I was at Volvo IT (my former employer until 2000) for a meeting today, it became sadly clear that Volvo IT have entered further down the path of radical ignorance.