Marina Gorbis on: ”Five Principles for Thinking Like a Futurist”

Forget about predictions. Focus on signals. Look back to see forward. Uncover patterns. Create a community. […] At its best, futures thinking is not about predicting the future; rather, it is about engaging people in thinking deeply about complex issues, imagining new possibilities, connecting signals into larger patterns, connecting the past with the present and […]

Which is the most important parameter for the future of humanity?

It is easy to believe that the future is a consequence of a number of external driving forces. Just for the overview, we can collect them under the headlines Social factors (soc), Technological factors (tech), Economical Factors (econ), Ecological Factors (ecol) and Political Factors (pol). If we describe it as a mathematical function for how the society […]

National Intelligence Council futures report: Paradox of Progress

Only days before(!) Donald Trump is inaugurated as POTUS the US Nation Intelligence Council released a public report on the future which underlines their views of the uncertainties which will shape the next 20 years. The timing of the release of an open intelligence report is of course a whole discussion in itself. What caught my eye […]

The possible long term potential of Blockchain

What is Blockchain and what are the possible consequences for the future? Blockchain is the key innovation behind the cryptocurrency Bitcoin and have lately come in focus almost everywhere. Blockchain itself can be described as a technology with the ability to displace the need for other (e g human, legal, governmental…) layers of trust between any […]

It is our stories, not technologies, that shape our future

We are drowning in news about new technologies every day. Technologies that are solving difficult problems as well as opening new possibilities. It is easy to see them as the most powerful forces transforming our world. But we forget one important aspect. We perceive these technologies through the stories of our time. These stories are much more important factors shaping our future than any technology. It is […]