A blog about the future and our struggle getting there
Today FuturePundit reports about the decline in healthy life style in the US.
Investigators from the Department of Family Medicine, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston compared the results of two large-scale studies of the US population in 1988-1994 and in 2001-2006. In the intervening 18 years, the percentage of adults aged 40-74 years with [...]
Since I use this example in my scenario planning education almost every day I thought it might be appropriate to remind you of this scenario published by Peter Schwartz and Jay Ogilvy in their article Plotting Your Scenarios in the book Learning from the Future (eds Fahey and Randall).
It is said to have been developed [...]
What about the future of the automotive industry? It doesn’t look good from an American (or Swedish) horizon, but where is all this going and how are we going to transport ourselves tomorrow??
Yesterday I held a speech at a local conference of entrepreneurship. As usual I talked about scenario planning and it’s virtues of creating [...]
Kevin Kelly say something like this in the speech:
“The Internet’s development is really amazing, but strangely enough, we are not amazed?”
Do we really understand what is going on?
The last time I wrote about Kevin Kelly in this forum was when he had been writing an interesting article in Wired about the future of Internet [...]
Coming back from vacation a sieving through the mail box I found an article where scenario planning was mentioned in an interview with Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of the very interesting book “The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable”(Amazon UK). / “The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable” (Amazon US). Even [...]
My home town Göteborg is currently host for the 61st World Newspaper Congress & 15th World Editors Forum with the main theme: Newspapers: A Multi-Media, Growth Business. To me, who is working with strategy, technology related forecasting and scenario planning, it feels really weird. When I look at how technology development and diffusion mix with [...]
Today scientific knowledge is more popular among the public than ever. It is only underscored with the success of the vast number of magazines popularizing science and the growing numbers of public science fairs popping up everywhere (e g here in Göteborg the science fair Vetenskapsfestivalen occured last week). The increased educational levels, indisputable leaps [...]
Laurent Haug quoted Ethan Zuckerman’s point which is really worth repeating in forecasting and futurist circles. Since I am, at least partly, finding myself backing a bit to my original turf of technology forecasting this is a good reminder of a rule of thumb that I actually used as an argument for the future success [...]
One of the highlights of LIFT08 was the Asia track. First on stage was Marc Laperrouza who talked about the telecommunication situation in China. To summarize what I thought was most interesting (download PDF of presentation):
59% of the world’s 2,5 billion mobile phone users are in developing countries – it is the first time in [...]
